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The survey predicted that the UDF could expect 53.7 per cent votes, while the LDF may win 37.92 per cent.
The NDA is expected to get 17.98 per cent votes.
Sitting MP M K Raghavan had trounced CPM’s A K Pradeepkumar by a margin of 85, 225 votes in 2019.
"The claim of an 'exemplary' performance is yet another product of the BJP's propaganda mill."
The first phase of Manorama News-VMR pre-poll survey seems to favour the UDF.
The UDF's dip in vote share to 43 per cent will put it in a neck-and-neck race with the LDF.
The survey predicted 36.51 per cent of votes for Muraleedharan, 30.59 per cent for Gopi and 30.53 per cent for Sunilkumar.
UDF is ahead of the LDF by 8.51 per cent of vote share.
As many as 37.1 per cent of people who participated in the Manorama News-VMR pre-poll survey supported the UDF.
The survey predicted that Tharoor will retain the seat for UDF.