The Manorama News–C Voter mega survey points to a shifting electoral landscape across south Kerala ahead of the 2026 Assembly elections. While Left Democratic Front (LDF) continues to hold an edge in Alappuzha, Kollam and Thiruvananthapuram, the survey indicates a significant erosion in its vote share across all three districts. This decline appears to be benefiting the BJP-led NDA, which is registering notable gains, even in regions where it has traditionally struggled to convert vote share into seats.

At the same time, the United Democratic Front (UDF) is projected to make a comeback in Pathanamthitta, where it could secure a majority of seats, and marginal improvements in Alappuzha, Kollam and Thiruvananthapuram. The survey findings also highlight a series of closely fought contests in key constituencies, suggesting that local dynamics and candidate profiles may play a decisive role.

Manorama News C-Voter mega survey: Central Kerala results
The second part of the survey results released on Monday pointed to a mixed electoral landscape across central Kerala, with the LDF retaining strength in Palakkad and Thrissur and the UDF poised to dominate in Ernakulam, Kottayam and Idukki. The survey estimates that the UDF could win at least 33 of the 53 seats in central Kerala, with the LDF at 24 and the NDA at 1. A look at the hot seats also suggested a mix of clear leads and tight contests.

The Manorama News C–Voter survey is one of the largest pre-poll opinion surveys conducted in Kerala so far, with participation from 89,693 respondents. The survey ensured representation across all 140 Assembly constituencies, regions, and demographic groups.

The sample for the opinion poll was collected between March 14 and 26. In addition, tracker and snap polls were conducted from December 1 to March 20. The survey was carried out in accordance with the guidelines of the World Association for Public Opinion Research (WAPOR) and the norms set by the Press Council of India.

(Read Part 1 & 2 of Manorama News C Survey)