The United Democratic Front (UDF) is heading towards a decisive victory in the 2026 Kerala Assembly elections, with early trends indicating a near-century haul of seats. A strong wave of anti-incumbency appears to have hit the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF), with several senior ministers, including Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, trailing in their respective constituencies.

Pinarayi Vijayan – Dharmadam
In a major upset, Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan is trailing in Dharmadam. Congress leader V P Abdul Rasheed has taken a lead of over 2,000 votes, capitalising on local discontent in what has long been considered a CPM stronghold.

Veena George – Aranmula
Health Minister Veena George has slipped to second place in Aranmula. UDF candidate Abin Varkey is leading by more than 4,000 votes, while BJP leader Kummanam Rajasekharan is in third.

V Sivankutty – Nemom
General Education Minister V Sivankutty is trailing in Nemom, where BJP state president Rajeev Chandrasekhar has opened up a lead of over 2,000 votes in a high-profile contest.

M B Rajesh – Thrithala
In Thrithala, minister M B Rajesh is trailing UDF’s V T Balram, indicating a comeback for the Congress leader in the constituency.

V N Vasavan – Ettumanoor
Cooperation Minister V N Vasavan is trailing significantly in Ettumanoor, with UDF’s Nattakom Suresh establishing a commanding lead of over 13,000 votes.

K B Ganesh Kumar – Pathanapuram
Minister K B Ganesh Kumar is facing a tough challenge in Pathanapuram, trailing UDF candidate Jyothikumar Chamakkala in an upset trend.

P Rajeev – Kalamassery
Industries Minister P Rajeev is trailing in Kalamassery, with IUML candidate V E Abdul Gafoor holding a narrow lead.

V Abdurahiman – Tirur
Sports Minister V Abdurahiman, who shifted constituencies this election, is trailing in Tirur behind IUML’s Kurukkoli Moideen.

Ministers holding ground

K N Balagopal – Kottarakkara
Finance Minister K N Balagopal is maintaining a strong lead of around 12,000 votes, holding off a challenge in Kottarakkara.

P A Mohamed Riyas – Beypore
Public Works Minister P A Mohamed Riyas is leading in Beypore against P V Anvar, who is now contesting as a UDF candidate.

K Rajan – Ollur
Revenue Minister K Rajan is ahead in Ollur, maintaining a steady lead over the UDF challenger.

Saji Cherian – Chengannur
Minister Saji Cherian continues to lead in Chengannur, retaining his dominance in the constituency.

G R Anil – Nedumangad
Food Minister G R Anil is holding on to a lead in Nedumangad, fending off a challenge from the UDF.

With counting still underway, the trends point to a significant setback for the LDF, with anti-incumbency impacting several key ministers even as a few manage to retain their strongholds.