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The heat seems both unrelenting and intensifying. 2023 was the hottest year in 124 years and IMD has warned of a hotter summer in 2024.
Meteorologists say, a shift towards a mild occurrence of La Nina, when surface ocean waters cool off the tropical west coast of South America, is looming.
The summer rainfall deficit due to El Nino could make staples such as sugar, pulses, rice and vegetables more expensive and lift overall food inflation.
India is on course to end the June-September monsoon season with a rainfall deficit of at least 8 per cent, say IMD officials
El Nino - a natural climate phenomenon that fuels tropical cyclones in the Pacific and boosts rainfall and flood risk in parts of the Americas and elsewhere.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted that the monsoon will hit Kerala coasts by June 4.
Maximum temperatures are very likely to be around 39˚C in Palakkad
The study has also found that large volcanic events can lead to contrasting erratic weather patterns like droughts or excess rain.
Though in June the rainfall deficiency was as high as 33 per cent, July has been wet so far and it is expected to remain like this.
India's monsoon rains were 20 per cent below average in the week ending on Wednesday, as rainfall was scanty over the central, western and southern parts of the country, the IMD said.